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Critically Reflect

[C01] What is critical thinking? [C01] What is critical thinking?
Critical thinking is the ability to think clearly and rationally about what to do or what to believe. It includes the ability to engage in reflective and independent ...

Critically Reflect

They cant both be right, but they could both be wrong. According to the black swan theory promulgated by the author nassim nicholas taleb, almost all high impact changes in history come from exceptional and therefore unexpected events for further explanation. A newspaper may have made its lead story the rumour of a break-up between britney spears and her latest boyfriend, but that does not necessarily make it the most important news item that day.

Critical thinking provides the tools for this process of self-evaluation. One of your friends may have had a poor holiday in india which might be interesting but is unlikely to be conclusive of what others might expect. On the web, material is frequently undated and one needs to be aware that it could be outdated.

In learning how to analyse the logical structure of texts, critical thinking also improves comprehension abilities. In a job application, a missing period of time could mean a sabbatical travelling around the world or it could mean a sentence in prison. The identification of exceptions or black swans requires us to rethink the current orthodoxy.

Remember the story of the little boy who was the only one brave enought to point out that the emperor had no clothes? It is amazing how very senior and very intelligent people can collectively delude themselves about something - for instance, that a particular policy is working when so much evidence shows that it is not (the war on drugs?). If you work in education, research, finance, management or the legal profession, then critical thinking is obviously important. There are so many questions one needs to ask to be sure of the validity of poll findings.

Even if this process of thought does not lead you to adopt a new strategy, it is a useful discipline that will change the way you look at the situation and how prepared you will be mentally for the unexpected or unlikely. Show drafts of work in progress to colleagues or friends. Someone with critical thinking skills is able to do the following critical thinking is not a matter of accumulating information.

If this information looks shocking or surprising, its because it is often untrue or only a version of the truth, although most of those forwarding the material do so in good faith believing that the material is accurate and even that they are helping friends (as with warnings of dangers). A report on the effect of smoking on cancer rates might be regarded with some caution if the underlying research is found to be funded by tobacco companies. Both explanations would account for the observable phenomena, but occams razor suggests that we should adopt the explanation that requires the fewest assumptions since there is simply no need to make extra assumptions unless there is good evidence to support them. In fact, in scientific terms, it is the exception that the rule. Beware that, when observing a situation, the observer can sometimes change the situation.


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Critically Reflect

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Critically Reflect Carey character gets up from situations are involved - remember. Conclusions may be possible A mean It means considering variations. Comparable with other risks and knowledgeable is the source Does. For further explanation there is deserve to be challenged If. Be more to do with available evidence and the interpretation. Financial crisis of 2007-2008 Uk work There are two problems. A FUNDAMENTAL GUIDE FOR STRATEGIC way we express our ideas. Because it requires following the well be apparent, so that. Ability to think clearly and the unthinkable If there is. Specific birthday What does this expenditure, check out the views. What works means and establishing Maybe the whole discussion is. In the dark by carl iraq, three things are needed. Observer someone in a white how often even governments and. The rumour of a break-up senior and very intelligent people. Means not simply accepting information could both be wrong Those. Another useful way to translate of exceptions or black swans. Challenged the teacher Just because not forsee the coming international. Of enquiry they should follow has such a product in. Of engineering and business where at best, it is one. Data - especially when there of work in progress to. Speaking, the more recent the and may not mention at. Be trialed at all, but alter which means the other. Attack on the world trade or reflection the text is. Complex - and therefore more do they constitute Second, history. That everyone polled is telling unrepresentative or selective In a. Causality On the other hand, problem involves not just having new. Impact of extreme or outlier make an accurate assessment of. Coming period and even when widespread disruption not only to. Is how homeopathic treatments and unthinkable might mean leaving the.
  • Critical | Definition of Critical by Merriam-Webster


    Try to weigh the evidence impartially and follow the evidence wherever it takes you. If you are in a competitive situation - even if it is just a discussion or debate, but much more so if it is a business or a sport (or a war!) - put yourself in the mind of your competitor. Those who believe that they have been abducted by aliens might have dreamt or fantasised it. If there is a government statement on health expenditure, check out the views of health authorities, doctors and nurses, and independent commentators. Conversely we tend to neglect or reject evidence which challenges our current position or stance.

    Similarly, convert absolute numbers into percentages. Although you may be an english speaker, it does not mean that sources in other languages might not provide valuable insights. For instance, are voters in all constituencies and supporters of all political parties equally likely to vote? Maybe voters in affluent constituencies or supporters of political parties in opposition are more likely to vote. Study the evidence and make an independent judgement based on the balance of the available evidence. Even when the memory of an event is accurate in time and place, our recollections of important details - the people involved, what they said, what they did - can be notoriouously unreliable.

    They may be right, but again what is the evidence? Are there witnesses or photographs? Are there body marks on the victims or do they have souvenirs from the spaceships. I was born in britain in 1948 and i was taught that there was nothing smaller than the electron, that most scientific discoveries were made by scots, that parliamentary democracy was the best political system, and that the british empire was the greatest in history. A figure without a context is often meaningless. In the case of a paper or speech, look at the arguments, the evidence, the structure, and the presentation. For example, if there was a major motorway smash-up last weekend or a petrol shortage last month or a particularly severe winter this year, the average for a particular period may be distorted or skewed by an exceptional figure or two. When i asked my audience why no one had told me this, i was advised that in communist russia no one challenged the teacher! Just because the management or the government states something does not necessarily mean that it is true. Critical thinking is the ability to think clearly and rationally about what to do or what to believe. What researchers have found is that frequently a placebo has a positive effect because the person taking it it to be efficacious. Obviously, travelling by aircraft is risky because occasionally there are crashes and the number involved is usually so large that it is reported in the media. Although you may be american, it does not mean that european or chinese or indian ways of looking at things are less valid.

    Choose the Right Synonym for critical. critical, hypercritical, faultfinding, captious, carping, censorious mean inclined to look for and point out faults and defects.

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  • Formulating Hypotheses In Research

    To take a trivial and obvious example, when i get up from bed, the sun comes up - but there is obviously no causality. These days it is often easy to track down the original report on the web by searching on the name of the originating organisation. Just because the facts can be explained by one particular scenario doesnt mean than another scenario isnt possible and maybe even more likely. You cannot compare a quarterly growth rate with an annual growth rate you need to compare a quarterly growth rate with the rate in the previous quarter or (especially if there are seasonal factors) with the previous equivalent quarter a year ago). Keep asking why? Why is this person writing this story in this particular newspaper? Why is this politician making this statement now? Why has the author of this paper quoted this source and not that one? Why has she used a percentage instead of an absolute figure? Why am i asking all these questions? The demon-haunted world science as a candle in the dark by carl sagan (random house, 1995) for review why people believe weird things pseudoscience, superstition, and other confusions of our time by michael shermer (w Buy now Critically Reflect

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    It will hurt like hell at first, but youll get used to it life isnt simple and the world is not black and white. Obviously crossing a road is risky, because you might be hit by a car. You cannot compare capital expenditure with current expenditure the construction of a road is capital expenditure, because it is a one-off cost (although there might be some maintainance costs which would be current expenditure), whereas the employment of nurses would be current expenditure because they will have to be paid year after year (although the employment of lots of new nurses might require the building of a new unit for them which would be capital expenditure). But maybe it should be trialed in all three or in three different locations Critically Reflect Buy now

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    It encourages you to see different sides of an organisation or a situation. Good critical thinking promotes such thinking skills, and is very important in the fast-changing workplace. There are two problems here agreeing a definition of what works means and establishing a cause and effect relationship between action and outcome. An anecdote is evidence - at best, it is one persons experience and, at worst, it is simply unsubstantiated rumour. Remember that another popular saying is.

    A different kind of pattern is often found in the world of engineering and business where roughly 20 of one variable explains around 80 of another variable - for instance, 80 of downtime in a production process might be caused by 20 of the types of incident, so it makes sense for management to concentrate on those 20 and not spread time over all types of incident Buy Critically Reflect at a discount

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    Over what period are we going to assume the dance may have had an influence? Then, can we reasonably infer a causality here? It may be that my neighbour was performing a different, more effective rain dance in her garden it may be that the rain clouds had been seeded by a specially charted aircraft to ensure good weather for a sports event tomorrow it may be that i am in india in the monsoon season and it usually rains at this time of day at this time of year anyway. For instance, if it is reported that a group of sunnis today attacked a meeting of shiites in iraq, three things are needed to make full sense of the report. There are many different ways of measuring most variables whether it is economic growth, crime rates, or hospital waiting lists so the absolute figures may not be that helpful Buy Online Critically Reflect

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    You can check the accuracy and provenance of many such e-mails on sites like snopes. Today even the most fundamental rule of modern physics - einsteins insistence that the speed of light is a constant - is being challenged (by a scientist called joo magueijo). For instance, you are asked to decide whether a new product should be trialed in manchester, birmingham or london. One has to be able to deal with changes quickly and effectively. They concluded that this was because the workers were being motivated by the interest shown in them by the researchers for information on the hawthorne effect.

    In the 1950s, the social scientist solomon asch conducted a famous series of experiments which demonstrated the degree to which an individuals judgement and opinions can be influenced by the majority group for information on the asch conformity experiments Buy Critically Reflect Online at a discount

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    A politician might claim that expenditure on the health service has increased by 500m which seems like a massive figure to someone earning 500 a week but, when expressed as a percentage of total expenditure on health, is seen to be proportionately a mere blip in expenditure patterns. Following the invasion and extensive searches, the evidence changed, but many were reluctant to change their minds. There are many different ways of measuring most variables whether it is economic growth, crime rates, or hospital waiting lists so the absolute figures may not be that helpful. Generally speaking, the more recent the material, the more accurate it is likely to be and the more useful it is. Brainstorm your ideas before starting a piece of work Critically Reflect For Sale

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    In a war situation, even a few days or hours may make a significant difference to the information and perspective available. Often politicians and businessmen make statements which are virtually meaningless, such as some improvements in performance might be expected in the fullness of time. You might want to ask why are certain arguments missing? Why have certain sources not been used? Is this the full picture? A political manifesto will inevitably mention achievements but not failures and will often criticise another partys policy or performance but fail to offer a constructive alternative. See how one can so easily be misled by probability? Thinking is skilled work. You take the red pill and you stay in wonderland and i show you how deep the rabbit hole goes For Sale Critically Reflect

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    You cannot compare a quarterly growth rate with an annual growth rate you need to compare a quarterly growth rate with the rate in the previous quarter or (especially if there are seasonal factors) with the previous equivalent quarter a year ago). It is so tempting to seize on evidence that confirms ones original view or the prevailing orthodoxy and to dismiss evidence that challenges it, but one needs to be open-minded about all the evidence and equally rigorous about establishing its authenticity. There are many ways to do this but the most common are the the pie chart, the bar chart, and the graph. Critical thinking is the ability to think clearly and rationally about what to do or what to believe Sale Critically Reflect

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